Updated 13 July 2025, 09:00 AM BST

With one week to go to the undisputed heavyweight clash, on Saturday 19 July 2025, betting activity has surged – and to no one’s surprise oddsmakers continue to back the undefeated Ukrainian, Oleksandr Usyk, as the clear favourite. With odds changing every 24 hours it is hard to keep up. Do you bet on the more experienced fighter or go with the power of the young British man? Click here to read indepth about the undercard fights appearing on this card.

 

Here’s a full breakdown of the most important market shifts, odds, and value picks available for punters ahead of a potentially historic night in British heavyweight boxing.

Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois face-off promotional image for heavyweight boxing match.

Betting odds for Usyk V Dubois 2 (As of 12 July)

  • Usyk win: 1/3
  • Dubois win: 14/5
  • Draw: 25/1
  • Usyk by decision: 11/8
  • Usyk by KO/TKO: 12/5
  • Dubois by KO/TKO: 7/2
  • Dubois by decision: 12/1

These odds continue to evolve. Just 24 hours ago, Dubois’ knockout price drifted from 4/1 to 7/2 after a six-figure wager was matched on a major London exchange. Some people in the market are clearly seeing the danger in Dubois’ power – even if the bookies still lean heavily toward the more technical Usyk. There are some people favouring the odds of Dubois.

The Biggest Market Movers Since the Opening Lines for Usyk V Dubois 2

The betting landscape has shifted notably since the lines opened:

  • Dubois KO in Rounds 7-12 shortened from 14/1 to 8/1
  • Usyk to win by Split Decision drifted from 9/2 to 6/1
  • Fight NOT to go the distance moved to 8/11 from 10/11

These adjustments reflect the volume of smart and sharp money entering the market. According to traders, casual punters typically back the knockout artist late in the betting cycle. With Dubois being the bigger puncher, his odds may compress even further once fight-week promo reels hit TV and social feeds. So it may be wiser if betting on Dubois to lay the bets now, however with the weigh in and open workouts yet to come it is hard to say.

Value Picks for the Usyk V Dubois 2 fight

  1. Usyk to Win by Decision (11/8)
    Still arguably the most “sensible” value on the board. Usyk’s movement, stamina, and volume-punching have frustrated every heavyweight he’s faced. Usyk has never been knocked down, let alone out in his professional career, which is an amazing stat for any fighter, let alone somebody who has shared the ring with Bellew, AJ and Fury.
  2. Dubois KO in Rounds 7-12 (8/1)
    Dubois tends to grow into fights. If he finds his range and Usyk fades late, especially with age being a larger factor now – as some believe is possible – this bet pays handsomely.
  3. Dubois to Score the First Knockdown (2/1)
    Usyk is known for taking a few rounds to warm up. If Dubois explodes early, this is where value meets probability.

Expert Opinions: What the Pros Are Saying for the undisputed heavyweight clash

  • Carl Froch on BT Sport:
    “Dubois at 14/5 outright is still value. He’s genuinely hurt every opponent. If he lands early, this could be a massive upset.”
  • Johnny Nelson on Sky Sports:
    “Usyk on points is the smart money. He makes even elite heavyweights look amateur, piling up rounds while staying evasive.”
  • Liam Glynn on Odds Compiler:
    “Patriotic betting isn’t what it was. Ukrainian money is consistent and sharp. The line’s been shaped by smart travellers.”
Undisputed Heavyweight Championship poster featuring Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois, showcasing championship belts with Wembley Stadium lit up beneath a stormy sky.

Recap: How Bettors Lost and Won on the first fight

In their first bout, Usyk was also favoured, closing at 2/5 on most UK sportsbooks. Many casual punters backed Dubois for the upset, especially by KO. That fight ended controversially, with Usyk winning by stoppage in the 9th after a disputed low blow call. Interestingly, “Fight to End in Round 9” had opened at 25/1 – netting solid returns for a few lucky punters who played the round markets.

Prop bets like “Dubois to score a knockdown” were popular but voided due to the referee’s ruling. Expect similar volume on round-specific and knockdown markets this time – but with a bit more caution.

Quick Guide: Popular Betting Terms Explained

  • Moneyline – A straight-up bet on who wins the fight
  • Method of Victory – Predicting not just who wins, but how (KO, decision, etc.)
  • Round Betting – Wagering on the exact round the fight ends
  • Double Chance/Combo Bets – Example: “Usyk by Decision or KO”
  • Prop Bet – Specific outcomes like “Fighter to be knocked down” or “Fight to go the distance”

Exchanges vs. Bookies: Where’s the Better Value?

While traditional bookies offer convenience and promotions, serious punters often turn to betting exchanges like Betfair for better prices. For example, Dubois’ KO odds at one point were 4.8 on an exchange (nearly 4/1) while major books stayed around 7/2. Liquidity is crucial – big-money backers tend to shift those prices quickly, so timing is everything.

Responsible Gambling Reminder

As always, set a budget and stick to it. Use deposit limits, time-outs, and self-exclusion tools if needed. For confidential support, contact the UK’s National Gambling Helpline at 0808 8020 133.

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